Freelance Geopolitical & Event Forecasting Experts at AI Startup

Job Description

Evaluate AI-generated event forecasts by assessing the accuracy and quality of predictions covering elections, central bank decisions, policy announcements, and technology/regulatory events using a provided rubric. Project expected to begin early July.

Qualifications

You’re a strong candidate if you:

• Have at least 2-3 years of recent experience in political analysis, macroeconomics, geopolitical risk, or policy research
• Have experience producing or evaluating probabilistic forecasts - election modelling, policy impact assessments, or macro scenario analysis
• Are familiar with prediction markets (Polymarket, Metaculus) or superforecasting methodologies
• Are fluent in English (requirement)
• Have strong analytical and quantitative skills
• Communicate clearly and precisely

Benefits

• Work directly with a YC-backed team on cutting-edge AI evaluation projects
• Competitive compensation tailored to experience and scope of work